Nope. No Chicken, real or fake. But it's not a political thing for me.

That will now be known as Pol Pot Pad Thai

Based on the polls, it will in November.

People are fed-up with what's been going on. The Republican leadership will only have itself to blame if they lose one or both houses.

Jimminy Crickets! In the time it takes me to post ONE message, another whole page - and the discussion has turned to food. How's a girl supposed to keep up?!?

Edited to add: Never mind, I see I just missed reading the last page. Silly me!

Well, there's something to be said about returning a thread back to topic.

Don't you just hate it when someone messes up your nice little derail?

Based on the polls that matter, which are not the national opinion polls generally trumpeted in the press, don't get you're hopes up for either house changing control in November.

ElectionProjection was very good at forecasting the 2004 results and so far they predict a 2 seat gain in the Senate and a 7 seat gain in the House. Neither of which is nearly enough to regain control for the Democrats. The big swing, however, will probably be in governorships. Election Predictions seems to be good at keeping a neutral political point of view but their analysis isn't much tested yet. They're a bit more optimistic than ElectionProjection but still don't see either house going to the Democrats.

The problem with looking at the national polls is that they don't reflect our gerrymandered reality. San Francisco can move from 70% anti-Bush to 100% anti-Bush and not one House or Senate seat will necessarily change hands. Similarly, Alabama's 3rd district could go from 90% pro-Bush to 30% pro-Bush and it probably wouldn't signal a change in party victory at the state office level. It also doesn't change the fact that even if half of all registered Republicans report that they think Republicans aren't going to do well, most of them will still not vote for a Democrat (and keep in mind that quite a few people are mad at their office-holders for not being conservative enough).

Things could certainly change, but right now I don't see much hope for the Democrats getting either house back in November. Their hopes are much stronger in 2008 when the presidential ticket has a much stronger draft the lower offices can work with.

2008 Alex(which I am sure you meant).

I don't know what you're talking about. I don't even like saying 2008. That's almost to the sequal to 2001. Do you know how far into the future 2001 was? And how much farther 2010 was? The future is simultaneously cooler than I ever imagined and fundamentally disappointing.

While I see your point- I don't think the numbers work out. I don't think enough seats are up for grabs in areas that are going to make much difference.

How many governorships are up for grabs? That is often seen as an indication.

I know I will be thrilled to see a change in ours out here- can't stand Owens.

(ah yes, like Alex said)

I do wonder who is going to run for POTUS- on both tickets. Should be fascinating to watch-

(I wonder what polls- can those things ever be trusted?)