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Why do you all keep saying 8 years? Is there a reason it wouldn't be in 4 years, when we do this all over again? Sorry, I'm sure it's a stupid question but I've seen a few of you make the same reference and I just don't understand. |
He has to assume that if he doesn't get the nomination this time it will be 8 years before he has another shot.
Because, as a Democrat he has to make his decisions on the assumption that the Democrat will win this time (and there is no real reason for that to seem obviously wrong at this time). That means that he has to assume that in 4 years there will be an incumbent Democrat president and unless she is just a complete failure there would be no realistic chance for anybody else to win the nomination. Yes, if Clinton gets the nomination this time and McCain wins, then he will certainly try again in four years, but I don't think he can make plans on the assumption that this will be an option available to him. |
And that's also why this is probably Clinton's only real chance at it. She has to assume her next opportunity will be 2016. And by then she'll be 69.
Yes, McCain is 71 but we're going to soon start hearing a lot of whispering about how he is too old for the job (I agree, he is) and I think that will be even more difficult for a woman to overcome. |
Thank you Alex, now it makes more sense to me. I don't know why my brain couldn't grasp that this morning.
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Visible mojo, GD.:snap:
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He had me when he compared Gore to Goebbels. But I was completely convinced when he attacked Krugman in the NYT for criticizing Exxon's CEO compensation, all while failing to mention his "independent" think tank was funded by Exxon. *yawn* |
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