Those are both in line with polling, slightly tilted further in favor of the leader (realclearpolitics showed McCain at 54% in KY and Obama at 52% in NH).

OH, IN, PA, VA, FL among others

IN, FL, PA, VA, OH are probably the most pivotal in terms of ones that McCain needs to win.

fivethirtyeight.com points to NH and GA as early barometers for how things are going. He figures that if polls have been underestimating Obama's strength, it'll show up as a better showing in GA than predicted. If the polls have been overestimating, it'll show up as a weaker showing in NH. Those early returns from NH are a good sign for Obama by that reasoning.

Per MSNBC - Obama 56-43 in IN! (way early still, of course)

1% reporting in IN shows Obama 56 to McCain 43! I know that you can't judge by 1% but, still, that's pretty great. I guess my sixteen-year-old nephew's campaigning in his home state may have paid off!

IN:

O: 55
M: 44

And just like that, IN is at 50-49 on MSNBC.

I voted today for the first time! Not only was it exciting, but I also got to yell, "That sign is disgusting!" to the person at the polling place holding a "Yes on 102" sign (AZ's version of 8), and "Fvck you!" to the person holding the sign at the corner. Sure it didn't change anything, but I felt better.

At 2% reporting. Spoke to soon, dammit.

Whoa, KY just jumped down to 51-48 McCain, and IN is at 50-48 O. It's gonna be a wild one for a while at least.