Prudence |
08-10-2006 01:10 PM |
I wonder what the new status quo will be. I suppose I should be more concerned with global affairs, but I'm selfishly thinking about me.
I know today is a day of flux and various officials and experts make recommnedations and predictions that may or may not become reality and that making plans based on today's guidelines is a foolish endeavor.
Still, I wonder. I didn't think my mascara would every be a bit of dangerous contraband. Will the no liquid rule persist? My guess is yes. My understanding is that the liquid bomb requires a liquid something or other, a powdered explosive, and an ignition source. (This is probably too simplistic and represents only what info I was able to glean from scanning the stories this morning.) Prohibiting the ignition source would mean prohibiting all battery-operated items - phones, laptops, wristwatches, iPods, et.... Prohibiting the powdered items would be extremely difficult as I understand it - effectively prohibiting all carry-on items. Therefore, the easiest item to prohibit is liquids.
But will it go further? Will we all go to the airport in the future with our passports and valium in ziploc baggies?
And that can have a serious impact on the travel industry. Airlines lose luggage all the damn time - and now I have to pack my favorite lipstick in checked luggage? I realize this is a minor inconvenience in the whole scheme of being blown up and sprinkled over some metropolitan area, but the travel "rules" have always been to check as little as possible. Heck, some airlines have started (Ryanair) or were planning to start (I swear I read this somewhere) charging to check luggage. If I have to check everything, luggage delivery is unreliable, I can't bring bottled water on the plane, airlines only serve for sale food/beverage for a significant markup, and I have to sit on a six-hour flight with no book, magazine, or anything, then I'm thinking I won't be flying any more. And heck - why just planes? They haven't before, but I keep wondering when these measures will extend to other forms of transportation - trains, buses, boats.
Now, like I said, this is all selfish thinking. And I'm sure y'all can think of any number of erroneous presumptions I've just made, and criticize my gall in thinking of my own comfort.
But I do think of my own comfort. And I'm not the only one. So, like 9/11, the impact isn't just a 5-hour security line today, it's me deciding to stop planning that vacation 18 months away because the combo of fear and inconvenience is just too much and I'd rather plan something closer to home. I can't be the only one thinking that.
And that's a potentially significant economic impact.
So, it's basically win-win for the terrorists. Either we do what they say and they win, or our economy takes one hit after another, and they win.
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