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NO! Chemical weapons in Iraq???
Hundreds of chemical weapons found in Iraq
From an intelligence report with portions of it just declassified today: Quote:
I, for one, have always believed they were there. As the link says, they are expecting to find more because they find them all the time. While this may not prove Saddam was trying to make more, I think it is clear that there was no mistaking that he had not destroyed his WMD chem weapons. 500 or so is a lot, regardless of condition. You don't just casually mix WMD with other munitions. Maybe one or two by mistake, but not 500. One other thing I found to be very interesting - Quote:
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Depending on the form, 500 is all that much either.
But if it is all degraded then odds are this is pre-first Gulf War stuff which means it is somewhat likely that we were the original source for Iraq having it. Of course, if it was all degraded it also means that Iraq wasn't even capable of maintaining what it already had which doesn't speak well to the likelihood of them being able to develop more anytime soon. If these provided a strong case for Saddam's evil intentions I'm guessing it would have all been declassified long before now. There was certainly no declassification lag in the early days of the war when every suspected WMD site was put on display for the media like Geraldo Rivera opening Al Capone's vault (with similar results). I'm more interested in the claim that the insurgents have been using mustard and sarin in attacks since I've never heard this before. I supported the war and still do (though never for the reasons Bush put forward) but it was support based on an unacceptable probability and it turns out the result was negative. |
Tee Hee, scaeagles just got pantz.
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Big deal... I remember making the point all the way back on... was it the cocktail board?... that any chemical weapons Saddam might have at that time would have been degraded past the point of having any usefulness. Funny, but I also remember Scaeagles ridiculing that point at the time.
There was never any disputing he had them. We gave them to him. I don't find it all that hard to believe that some caches got forgotten, misplaced, however you want to classify it, especially when you consider the fact that we can't find $9Billion dollars we sent over there much more recently. |
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Sounds like Santorum is grasping for straws as he's booted out the door... |
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I got more chemical weapons in my underpants after a night of tacos and beer than all of Iraq...
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I pointed out they were heavily degraded. My point is that Saddam did not misplace 500 chem weapons, and there are most likely more. So he clearly was lying about having destroyed all of his chemical weapons. This is my point. |
Aw Leo- the point doesn't matter when people can act like smug condescending .....yeah.....
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What was the point? That Saddam is a liar, a coward, and a bully? Fine, I don't know anyone who disputes that.
Explain to me the difference between True Warrior 43 and Saddam. |
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So as to not be misconstrued, whether WMD are there was never something I thought was a precondition for invasion of Iraq. The first violation of the cease fire was, and those violations included denial of inspections. |
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just cuz this is so deserving of being repeated ;) |
No offense to GC's imagery intended, but when new news breaks, I don't think it is a dead horse. 500 chem weapons found with the prediction of more to come is new news.
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FoxNews Debunks Santorum's WMD Claim Quote:
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An unnamed defense department official doesn't mean much to me. Unnamed sources never do, particularly in matters of politics.
If you had heard his before, then it is certainly old news. I had not heard this before even though I try to remain somewhat informed. Again, the first comment I made in the OP was to acknowledge that hese were degraded. The extent to which is varied. My point is not that these were the end all of the WMD programs we expected to find. My point is that Saddam had claimed he had destroyed all his chemical weapons. He had not. You don't misplace (at least) 500 chemical weapons. |
and the wheels keep spinning- but no one is getting anywhere.
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Leo,
I can see what you are saying. But didn't they find degraded weapons last year as well? And Nephy, you should know better than this. If they found 500 units of weapons grade,or near grade mustard, sarin or other chemicals I can guarentee the responses would be different. You should know by now that all of us "left wing-nuts" are open to calm, rational arguments and debates and have even been known to change our stance on something when presented with a convincing enough argument. If you have something other than "the wheels keep spinning" and calling us condensending then please share it, if not, don't be suprised when the :rolleyes:s start comming. |
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I could see that perhaps two chem weapons could be mixed in with stashes of conventional weapons accidentally. However, with 500 or so, an oversight is not likely. Rather, it would seem that a specific strategy was in place that should Saddam choose to use them, there was a much larger opportunity for impact with them located in several different places and therefore available to scattered troops. Having them in one or two places would limit their effectiveness and if those one or two sites were captured, they would be unavailable for use. |
To me, this continues to support the same version of the story that's been unfolding since after the invasion (and was predicted by those evil liberal nay-sayers before the invasion)...Sadaam was lying about his intentions (omg, stop the presses) and secretly harboring the desire to rev up his chemical weapons program again. But desire and action were no aquainted with each other, and the constant scrutiny had him in a position where everything was on hold. He had to burry everything he had and let it rot in the desert. So despite his desires, Iraq's capability to produce viable, dangerous chemical weapons in quantity was years behind where they were before Desert Storm.
Okay, so he didn't destroy them all...but the sanctions and scrutiny did that job for him. They were destroyed by time. Mission Accomplished. |
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I never called you a left wing nut- nor does that thought go through my mind when I read these things- I find alot of the responses to what he posted to be rude and condescending and no- my faith that certain people are susceptible to the possibility of changing their mind is very very low. I am expressing my frustration without making it personal- and I don't really appreciate anyone telling me what I can or can not express. Heaven forbid I express my opinion without vetting it with people here first. Good lord. (and trust me- I am never surprised by it when people resort to rolling their eyes- it's expected from some quarters) |
Actually, if I recall, the liberal mantra prior to the Bush election was that Saddam was a dangerous man with WMDs. During the second election, John Kerry said that if you didn't believe Saddam was a dangerous man with WMD, you shouldn't vote for him. After the Bush elections it was the same thing. After Bush action, it became that he had no WMD because he had destroyed them all and therefore action was unnecessary. Now it is that it is no big deal because they were old and degraded. In fact, I've heard some reports on the local radio about liberals questioning why it took so long to find these and why we're only finding out now from his recently declassified document.
So no matter what, spin from the left will be critical. GD, I honestly don't recall anyone on the left saying Saddam still had WMD post invasion. |
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Should I accept that premise (which isn't unreasonable), how were we to know that without the required full and unfettered access required by the cease fire and UN resolutions related to the cease fire?
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Should I split this thread? There's a conversation going on about WMD in Iraq then there's another discussion about how people feel about others expressing their thoughts. Mabe we should have one big thread where people can post their generalities about posting habits and content.
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Like I said, this is just another piece in a long list of evidence that started coming in before the invasion and continues to be corroborated. |
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Isn't that called "The Parking Lot?" |
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But I could just be having false memories ;) |
![]() ![]() ![]() Have they found these yet? |
Quite simply these weapons in this condition do not support Bush's case for going to war. The case he made was based on Iraq actually being an imminent threat for being in possession of usable WMDs and in active development of more effective WMDs.
My case for the war didn't really care whether he had them or was persuing them but rathre that we simply couldn't take the chance that he had them or was persuing them. Turns out he didn't (though he may have believed he did) really have either. So long as Iraq was stonewalling efforts to definitively establish their capacity, they posed an unacceptable threat. Even though the threat, in hindsight, was pretty close to nil, I still think the war was justified on my grounds but unjustified on Bush's grounds. As I said above, if these finds strongly supported Bush's case for the war do you really think it would have taken this long for word to get out and that Rick Santorum would have been the mouthpiece of choice? I'd still like to hear more about the insurgents apparently using mustard and sarin gas as that would be a major story. |
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Yes, Bush (and many other intelligence services throughout the world) thought he had a much larger capacity. But the fact is that the invasion happened because Saddam would not comply with inspection requirements from the first cease fire, supported by numerous UN resolutions. To say war was unjusitifed on Bush's grounds and then to recite the very reason the invasion happened seems strange. |
Those photos that uber posted kinda look like a relative of this
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Optimus Prime could be a weapon of mass destruction. He was a bad a$s.
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Be that as it may....I am just pointing out that I agree with Alex regarding Saddam not allowing verification was enough reason all by itself, and wondering why he does not take into account the final UN resolutions that would have prevented war if Saddam had capitulated to what he had already agreed to. War did not happen until that final rejection of his commitment.
And I disagree with you, Sac. The first Gulf War never ended. There was no peace accord signed, only a cease fire agreement. So one straw was all that was required. And Saddam had more than enough chances. |
Bush wanted to invade Iraq since the day he got into office. He was just scrambling for a reason to. He scared the whole nation into agreeing with him using 9/11 as leverage. There are no WMDs in Iraq. He knew that and changed his strategy to 'liberating the Iraqi people'. Now there are a lot of dead soliders who are gone because of Powell waving around vials. Even he said he was hesitant.
There's no justifying what is going on. People are catching on, that's why his numbers are still low even after killing Zarqawi. |
Well, if you want to talk about beating a dead horse, that would be it, GC. 500 (approx) chemical weapons (granted old and degraded, but certainly not destroyed and spread out in a way to allow for usage rather than for surrender) is new news. The Bush as war monger who wanted to do it no matter what argument is just.....old. For someone who wanted it no matter what he sure did give Saddam a whole lot of chances to avoid it.
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If this story was so new and informative and groundbreaking, they would have given it to Frist or McCain to reveal. It's garbage so they gave it to Santorum so he can use it to possibly get reelected. The media's not picking up on this story. You know why? And don't say because the media is liberal, it's not. The press is in Bush's pocket. They're not picking it up because it's a nothing story. Nothing to report. Nada. Straws...grasp, grasp. |
What about bin Laden? What about Afghanastan? Why don't we hear about that anymore?
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Well, disagreements will continue to mount. So many things I disagree with GC I won't bother.
Bin Laden has made himself a non story. A video or audio tape every three months means he probably isn't doing much. Would love to catch him, sure. Afghanistan....moving along, not swimmingly by any means, but the elected government is functioning. |
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The reasons from which Bush hung his assertion that war in 2003 was necessary were unfounded. Now, I believe that the case they'd have liked to make is very similar to the reasons I believe the war needed to be prosecuted (and would have been legally justifiable prior to 9/11 and became more imperative after) but that they chose not to present that justification because they didn't think it would sell enough of the population. So, they chose instead to present an imminent threat that turned out not to exist rather than the unacceptable risk that did. I have no doubt that they believed their case to be strong and valid but they were still wrong. It is only after they failed to find the massive WMD caches they expected that the administration began to present alternate justifications and that was rightly perceived as desparation on their part, even if some of the altnerate justifications are actually pretty valid reasons. |
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Hearing from bin Laden gives Bush a boost? So....killing Zarqawi doesn't give Bush a boost, but hearing from an uncaptured (dead or alive) bin Laden is staged to give him a boost. I fail to follow the logic.
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And this is after we went in... |
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Hoekstra, however, is the chair of the House Intelligence committee. Does his presence make it anymore credible? If Santorum wasn't there would you have a differing opinion? |
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Oh, you're talking loophole, Leo. Yes, the UN sanction violations gave Bush the loophole he needed to justify invading Iraq. And fvck the irony of Bush hiding behind an international body he doesn't even believe in in order to wage his war...it's not funny.
You don't actually mean that Bush's for true reasons for invading Iraq begins and ends at violated sanctions, right? |
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Again, the violations justification for the war existed for 13 years. The possession argument is the one that made it happen. The Bush administration hitched their wagon to the wrong horse. But all of that is moot. The Bush administration is essentially arguing against you, Leo, that these finds are of any great significance. After 3 years of ridicule on this exact issue do you really think they would hesitate to trumpet any affirming discoveries? |
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There is a theory - quite reasonable, really - as to why this is not being trumpeted. To summarize, the oil for food program investigation showed that China, Russia, and France were violating sanctions and selling arms to Iraq. There is evidence that the Russians specifically assisted in removal of WMDs and production capabilities in the two weeks prior to the invasion when the final UN resolutions were making the rounds. They did this because the equipment was Russian, Chinese, and French. Talking up the evidence at present which points fingers at three security council members while at the same time needing their assistance with the Iranian and North Korean situations is not a good thing to do. Spin? Perhaps. But not unreasonable considering what is know about the interactions of those three countries with Saddam. |
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The argument was not that we needed unfettered access so that we could find out whether Iraq had them and was developing them but that we needed unfettered access so that we could find what he had and was developing and destroy them. In fact, you could argue that in an environment where the world intelligence community had determined that Iraq absolutely was in possession of a usable arsenal and persuing an active development program that it would be impossible for Hussein to have provided sufficiently full access to disprove these claims. Those already convinced would simply assume he was doing an unexpectedly good job of hiding them (kind of like what happened when we did go in and didn't really find anything). The President should simply have said: "In a climate where we are actively at war with a certain strain of Islamic fundamentalism the prevarications of Saddam Hussein can not be left sitting on our flank. For 13 years his unwillingness to comply with the terms ending the Gulf War in 1991 have been an irritant in the world of international diplomacy. A game that has cost his country millions of dollars and thousands of lives. But until 9/11 it was just an irritant. However, we now find ourselves at war with a certain strain of Islamic fundamentalism who have shown themselves willing to use any weapon to strike us. Similarly, Saddam Hussein has shown himself willing to use aggressive violence to achieve goals of territorial expansion and to fulfill fantasies of revenge. We can not leave Saddam Hussein on our flank as we prosecute this war against Al Qaeda, just waiting for the day when his capability to deliver weapons of mass destruction comes into alignment with both his desire to do us harm and the desire of Al Qaeda to destroy us. Either he must do everything in his power to show he poses no risk to us in our war with Al Qaeda or we have no other option but to ensure he is not in a powerful position to interfere with that war." That, in my view, is the real justification for the war. That, in my view, is what the Bush administration didn't have the political balls to say to the American people, and that, in my view, is why they are stuck defending inept justifications for a just war. |
Nice to see things back to normal around here. Welcome home, Leo. :)
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Condition of cease fire + lack of compliance + wide spread intelligence claiming WMDs - Saddam allowing inspection access = war. Whether full inspections allowed by Saddam would have led to cries that he was just hiding them effectively....what ifs can go any and every direction. I could say "What if we went into Iraq prior to the last UN resolutions and delays and had found Russian, French, and Chinese equipment?". Lots of scenarios to theorize about. Edited to add - I do like your speech. |
We'll have to disagree. I see what you're saying as fundamentally flawed but if the posts I've already made haven't made my view clear then I don't have it in me.
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Shortly following the beginning of the war a program of unrestricted inspection began. Nothing was found. The general response from certain circles was "well he hid them pretty good then." It isn't a hypothetical. |
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Disagreement is fine. I don't see your argument as "fundamentally flawed", just incomplete in that you don't allow for the fact that an out was given that would have allowed Saddam to disprove the arguments being presented. My summary of the road to war: "I think A. You say B. I will continue to think and act on A until you allow me to pursue the path that will prove B." |
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The summary you provide there is approximately my road to war. The summary that would be Bush's road to war is: "I know A. You say B. I will continue to act on A until you allow us to dismantle A." A turned out to be wrong. In your summary (that is closer to my justification than Bush's) it isn't so important whether A is actually true or not. In the Bush version is is extremely important. You view the U.N. resolutions as a trigger. I view them as a convenient excuse for doing what they were going to do anyway (and Bush has said as much, that while the support of the U.N. was important it wasn't necessary). |
Just why is it so important to have a war against international terrorism anyway? Is it really so dangerous? Al Queda has inflicted exactly one successful attack on U.S. soil, killing around 3,000 people.
To date, around 2,500 American soldiers have died, and approximately 80,000 Iraqi civilians, in the war that became "necessary" from the 3,000 deaths. This is to say nothing of deaths in Afghanistan. And yet, international terrorist casualties in America remain at that same 3,000. If the U.S. is being successful at preventing further terrorist attacks in America, I congratulate it ... but none of it is being done through warfare. Why war? Luckily, I won't be around to read more of scaeagles very loose rationale for bloody, murderous war. I was beginning to like the guy, he's very nice in person ... but it kills me to read how cavalier he is with other peoples' lives and misery. |
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Another modification then - "Most of the world knows A. You are pretty much the only one saying B. Show us B is not true and we will not be forced to dismantle and dispose of B." |
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To answer my own question, it was because they had designs on much more than Pearl Harbor. Radical islamic terrorists have their agenda as well. If disagreement or my "cavalier attitude" causes you not to like me, so be it. I will not lose sleep. I do fail to see anything suggesting I am cavalier. All I am suggesting is that Saddam was the one who chose war and no one else. |
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Sounds like you're awfully cavalier about lives as well. |
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If I tell you to let me in your house or I'll shoot you, your death isn't a suicide. |
I'm trying to stop, but she just makes me keep doing it.
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Who is responsible? |
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As far as something in the equation changing, I agree. The change was a new doctrine of preemption based on the 9/11 attacks. Preemption over what a sovereign state can do? How dare we, you say. Except Iraq wasn't truly sovereign at the time. They were under the conditions of a cease fire. |
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Except the conditions of his probation include submitting to searches. I didn't say they shot him, only that they broke down the door. OK - I'll add that he went and hid in a closet.
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If they didn't shoot him, then the analogy isn't quite apt. Also, yours was an expansion on mine in which he was shot.
But it really doesn't matter. You've switched from arguing justification to arguing responsibility. They aren't necessarily the same thing. However, since the justification Bush gave for the war turned out to be wrong I would argue that he has none. And while you may not be responsible for the results of a justified act, I would say you generally are responsible for the results of an unjustified one. Again, he could have put himself on solid, in my opinion, grounds for pressing the war but chose not to because they didn't think they could sell it successfully. Instead they overreached and presented a version of events that I honestly believe they believed to be true because they knew it would sell better. But in doing so they put themselves onto more tenuous ground and just end up looking silly flailing about for any handhold when that ground gave way under them. |
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"I've committed a violent crime. A home invasion robbery." Saddam invaded Kuwait. "The police extracted me and slapped my hand and put me on probation." Coalition forces kicked him and sent him back to Iraq with sanctions and a cease fire agreement. "I repeatedly violate my probation." How many times did Saddam violate conditions of the cease fire? "A tipster tells them I have a bomb and hostages in my house." How many intelligence services were telling us he had WMD? "I won't let them in to check it out so they break down the door." He is supposed to let us in, no questions asked, as a condition for the cease fire. He doesn't, so we invade. He didn't die, so not being shot actually makes it a better analogy. |
If you don't see why it isn't apt I don't think I can explain it to you so that you'll accept it.
We may not have shot Saddam Hussein but we shot an awful lot of people. So, if you insist on your analogy it would be like the police knocked down the door arrested the criminal and shot his friends who just happened to be there. |
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Not that it matters, I suppose. It's an analogy. |
Yes, one that has gotten off the point that it is silly to say that Saddam is the only one who holds responsibility for going to war.
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Was that the point? I don't seem to recall that. At least it wasn't my point. Oh, well.
So much for another LoT beat-your-head-against-the-wall thread. |
No, it was my point.
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![]() "@#$%!! Liberals!!" ![]() "@#$%!! Conservatives!!" |
BANG YOUR HEAD!!!
METAL HEALTH WILL DRIVE YOU MAD!!! oh sorry, wrong thread :) |
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I've been enjoying this exchange between two superior last word-igans. I hope they don't stop.
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Moi? Don't know what you're referring to.
(OK - I admit when I saw Alex posted "No, it was my point.", I resisted the urge to post something else.) |
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I am strong
I am invincible I am ska-gles |
:D
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Well, how upset could anyone be at the passing of a lawyer? One meal seems about right.
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I think that fence they have around the defendants at his trial make them all look like bad little babies in their play pens.
"Better get used to these bars, kid." ~ Marty McFly :D |
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