Official election predictions
 

I'm thinking Presidential, but feel free to throw in any other important things, like CA prop 8 or final House and Senate counts.

As posted in another thread, my official Presidential prediction (assuming no game changing October surprises come out) is that Obama wins the popular by 6-8 pts and the electoral by 130-190.

Shenanigans! C'mon scaeagles, do we really need another election thread?

Isn't it enough that the Obama thread has become all about Sarah Palin, making it indistinguishable from the McCain thread, and both should have just remained in the RPTII thread? There's already two or so Prop H8 threads, a thread about the California ballot initiatives which is inclusive of Prop H8, and sundry other election-related threads.


I'm respectfully requesting you request this thread be closed. It's really just complete overkill. That's imho. And it's your decision completely. But, for god's sake, think of the children!!

I'm predicting an Obama win, but by a closer margin than the polls are indicating now.

Unfortunately, I think 8 will pass. I'm sad about that, but the No on 8 folk do not have the funds the Yes idiots do.

I will have to go back to find it, but somewhere in the distant past I predicted that Obama would win the Democratic nomination and would win the election.

You guys would NOT believe what I just head about Sarah Palin.....



;) (Sorry, iSM, couldn't resist).


An election thread is entirely appropriate, and it doesn't have to degenerate into another Palin thread. Scaeagles made it clear that it's a general thread, and there are a lot of other campaigns and issues being voted on besides the Presidency.

Here in Washington, the governor's race is pretty much even, or so I've read. The last election (between the same candidates) was very nasty, and this one has been as well. I don't really care for either candidate, but I'm going with Gregroire (our current gov), mostly because the thought of having a governor named after Fred Flintstone's dog is a bit off-putting.

Slots is the big issue here.

Personally I'm all for them. I would never play slots so it's a tax someone else pays.

The problems is that with slots, the tax revenue would be paid by those least able to afford it. I can't say I like that.

So much like a vote for Obama, I'll probably vote my conscience over my own financial interests.

Ok, what about the Senate? The Dems are within a hair's breath of a filibuster-proof 60 of them after election day, something they couldn't have dreamed of a month ago.

Is that possible? What would it mean for the country combined with an Obama administration?

I really was only looking for what people thought numbers would be in terms of margin.

Of course, ISM, I'm now tempted to create 17 other political threads....particularly since YOU were so against the generic "random political thoughts" thread I originally created. Hmph!

I swear, I wish Congress ran more like a parliament (minus the whole parliament choosing the leader thing). Screw two parties, I want disparate voices and coalitions. Not a fan of filibuster-proof super majorities on either side.

But of course I'd rather it be the Dems with the super majority than the Repubs at this point.