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Personally, I think they are both going to picked off rather quickly once the merge takes place. The other team isn't even going to think twice. Then the game gets more interesting as you have a group of people that have been able to bond pretty securely over the past weeks, finally have to start making tough decisions.
I still think Tom is a strong contender although he is obviously going to be perceived as a huge threat after the merge. I do wonder how many individual immunity challenges he could potentially win in a row, especially where strength is a factor. The guy is a stud.
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