I think it already has been ugly.
But I don't think it deos get ugly, really. I think the scenarios are quite easy to predict. If Natalie doesn't win immunity, she's gone. If she does. it's a 2-2 tie between Amanda (as voted by Cerie and Natalie) and Cerie (as voted by Parv and Amanda). That leave a lot of possibilitoes for the final 3, so I don't want to try to break that down.
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