Fear of failure only works if it motivates one to do all they can to help. If you feel that you're probably going to fail, how hard are you going to try? Simply saying that you predicted those outcomes and you predict another negative outcome actually hurts. For the forest to be green, each leaf must be green. What if all of us leaves agreed, saying "he's probably not going to win"?
Same goes for assassination talk. Kinahora, poo poo poo. Such a shame, really, that we're in this wonderful moment regardless of November, and people can't enjoy it and add to the momentum with their own shining beacon.
As for Leo listening to the speech - as I said before, I think that he won't hear it the same as others might. The words mean different things. It couldn't hurt, though after seeing his posts here, I don't think the speech will persuade him.

That's as negative as I'll get...
I can't wait to watch the Republican Convention just to see just how much I don't understand of their language these days.