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Historicall, Zogby has been the most accurate, I think.
And really, the only poll that matters is in November.
It will be interesting if McCain wins the popular by the current Zogby 4 pt margin and loses the electoral count (with is currently at 273-265 for Obama). I would guess rolls between the parties will be reversed and those who had been complaining about he electoral system will love it and those who supported it may be complaining.
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