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Tom can reasonably expect a good chance at winning immunity in the final 3.
Those elimination challenges are always political suicide for someone. Always. Katie was particularly moronic. She didn't have to take out Ian, she could have hit Jenn. And then to have Gregg completely break his word because Jenn cracked the whip, only to cheerfully enter into a 3-person alliance with those two. Could she be any stupider?
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'He who receives an idea from me, receives instruction himself without lessening mine; as he who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me.'
-TJ
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