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If he shuts anything down it will just be the prison. There's no way we're letting the forced lease of Guantanamo Bay lapse any time soon.
If it will be difficult for Obama to start normalizing relations with Cuba while Fidel/Raul/puppet are still in power it would be a complete ****storm if he gave up the base. The best $3,000 our government tries but fails to spend each year.
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