Quote:
Originally Posted by Moonliner
That seems a bit high to me...
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It is. That number assumes that each game is a coin flip. They're not (or it would suggest that the seeders have no idea what they're going).
In the last two tournaments, there were 122 in which differently seeded teams played each other. The higher seeded team won 99 of them.
Of course, the odds are still really, really small.