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Oh, I don't know. Andy Pettite is almost 40 wins ahead of Johnson's pace at the same age. Admittedly, Johnson had two incredible years in his late 30s (24 and 21 wins) but whereas Johnson averaged 14.5 wins over the last eight years, Pettite only needs to average 10 (and he's done better than that every single year of his career but one so far).
By no means a lock but not necessarily a long shot either.
Unless you're expecting to die relatively soon.
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