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I disagree with your assessment of the political situation in AZ. A huge majority of 70% of the populace supports the legisation. Also, that demographic already votes overwhelmingly on the dem side anyway. The political calculation (at least for the governor) is trying to get the 70% to vote for her reelection.
Districts are drawn in such a way in AZ that two districts have House Seats that will always go to the incumbants of Ed Pastor and Rual Grijalva (not sure on the spelling of that one). Where this is hurting the dems in AZ congressional elections is in the disctrict of Harry Mitchell and Ann Kirkpatrick, who both occupy districts that are leaning toward their republican challangers.
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