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If you want the Democrat to win? Obama. Not that he's doing great, but at this stage I think another Democrat loses.
Though not completely, but to a large degree because if there is a true primary battle the new person and Obama will completely rip each other to shreds. If Obama survives but has trouble he will be seriously weakened. And the other person will have to go way left of Obama to pull it off and like it or not way left of Obama does not get a majority of votes in this country.
Sure, the same thing will be happening on the Republican side but if there's a primary challenge to Obama nobody will care.
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