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I think what is more likely is that the zeal with which the charges are being pursued is opportunistic (based on what I'd read as of a couple days ago it sounded like this mostly blew up out of a desire to find a way to force Assange into an STD test) than that the charges were manufactured out of whole cloth.
That said, my reading has taught me that that agents of the Swedish government are not above intentionally misdiagnose a child as mentally incompetent and then abusing her in institutions all to protect a secret Russian spy that defected. And if they'll do that, they can do anything.
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