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I'll list my predictions and the ones I'd be voting for, which mostly coincide. We saw everything except a very few (no foreign language, only some of the docs, no docs shorts.)
Actor-Leading
Will win (and would vote for) Philip Seymour Hoffman
Actor-Supporting
Will win- Jake Gyllenhaal
Would vote for- Paul Giamatti
Actress-Leading
Will win (and would vote for) Reese Witherspoon (though Felicity was great)
Actress-Supporting
Will win- Rachel Weisz
Would vote for-Amy Adams
Animated Feature
Will win (and would vote for) Wallace and Gromit
Art Direction
Will win- Memoirs of a Geisha
Would vote for- Good Night and Good Luck
Cinematography
Will win- Brokeback Mountain
Would vote for- Brokeback Mountain
Costume Design
Will win (and would vote for) Memoirs of a Geisha (but why wasn't Capote nominated?)
Directing
Will win (and would vote for) Brokeback Mountain
Documentary Feature
Will win (and would vote for) March of the Penguins (but if a suprise win for Darwin's Nightmare comes along I would not be surprised.)
Film Editing
Will win- Crash
Would vote for- Walk the Line
Foreign Language Film
Will win- Tsotsi
I didn't see any of these, unfortnately.
Makeup
Will win (and would vote for) Narnia
Original Score
Will win (and would vote for) Brokeback Mountain
Original Song
Will win- "In the Deep" from Crash
Would vote for- "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from Hustle and Flow
Best Picture
Will win- Brokeback Mountain
Would vote for- Capote
Best Short Film, Animated
Will win- The Moon and the Sun
Would vote for- Badgered
Best Short Film, Live Action
Will win (and would vote for) The Runaway (and if Cashback wins I will go on a rampage.)
Best Sound Editing
Will win (and would vote for) King Kong
Best Sound Mixing
Will win (and would vote for) Walk the Line
Best Visual Effects
Will win (and would vote for) King Kong
Best Screenplay, adapted
Will win- Brokeback Mountain
Would vote for- Capote
Best Screenplay, original
Will win- Crash
Would vote for- The Squid and the Whale
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