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Past history (as opposed to future history I guess) suggests that a movie's reception at Cannes has little impact on how well it will do at the Box Office in the United States.
For example, of the last 10 winners at Cannes, only four have made as much as $35 million in the United States (Farenheit 9/11 and The Pianist). A third (Dancer in the Dark) made a bit over $30 million. None of the rest topped $15 million. Four didn't even make it to $1 million.
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