Atmospheric Science, the weather, and global warming

scaeagles · 08-22-2006, 06:42 AM

OK....been a while. I was going to post this in the random thoughts thread, but I though it deserved its own.

Storm season below average

I am not here to debate global warming. I fully admit that the earth is getting warmer at present, I just don't believe that man is the cause. Anyway.....

I found this to be quite interesting. Many educated people believe that the two record setting hurricane and tropical depressions seasons in 2004 and 2005 are directly tied to global warming, and the sea surface temperatures will continue to rise, which will lead to huge hurricane seasons every year.

Well, thus far, 2006 is below the average of 1944-1996, and nowhere near any sort of record setting level. Sea surface temperatures are below normal.

I have long thought that the complexity of the atmosphere and forces at play in determining weather phenomena are too complex to predict even with reasonable science. Who would have thought that with record air temperatures across the planet sea surface temperatures would have dropped to bvelow average. It is counter intuitive.

This is why I don't buy into the doom and catastrophe predictions related to global warming. I don't think man causes it. I don't think man had much, if any, control over it. And I certainly don't think anyone has any idea how it all works. Massive predictions of devastating hurricanes were all there were prior to the season starting.

It is true there will probably be some. But not many. And with the seas temps as they are, if they stay as they are, there may not be anything major.

More confirmation for my skepticism.

08-22-2006, 06:42 AM	#1
scaeagles I LIKE! Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7,819	Atmospheric Science, the weather, and global warming OK....been a while. I was going to post this in the random thoughts thread, but I though it deserved its own. Storm season below average I am not here to debate global warming. I fully admit that the earth is getting warmer at present, I just don't believe that man is the cause. Anyway..... I found this to be quite interesting. Many educated people believe that the two record setting hurricane and tropical depressions seasons in 2004 and 2005 are directly tied to global warming, and the sea surface temperatures will continue to rise, which will lead to huge hurricane seasons every year. Well, thus far, 2006 is below the average of 1944-1996, and nowhere near any sort of record setting level. Sea surface temperatures are below normal. I have long thought that the complexity of the atmosphere and forces at play in determining weather phenomena are too complex to predict even with reasonable science. Who would have thought that with record air temperatures across the planet sea surface temperatures would have dropped to bvelow average. It is counter intuitive. This is why I don't buy into the doom and catastrophe predictions related to global warming. I don't think man causes it. I don't think man had much, if any, control over it. And I certainly don't think anyone has any idea how it all works. Massive predictions of devastating hurricanes were all there were prior to the season starting. It is true there will probably be some. But not many. And with the seas temps as they are, if they stay as they are, there may not be anything major. More confirmation for my skepticism.
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