Yes, we can.

[Ghoulish Delight]

With only 20% of voters being considered "swing votes" by Gallup, and Obama carrying a ~8-9% lead, that means that McCain would have to swing about 75% of those undecideds his way. Considering that most of those undecideds are moderates, and Palin's ravings are meant not to appeal to moderates but to try to convince the base to come out and vote, that's a pretty tall order.

And that's just get the popular vote polling lead. Obama's still got a pretty healthy electoral lead. With that 20% of undecideds scattered around the country, that leaves little room for McCain to swipe any states.

Obama's in good shape. Not that he should be complacent, but he should be acting like a candidate in the lead, not like a scared candidate panicing over every attack that's thrown his way. He shouldn't be scambling onto the airwaves just because the 'pubs show up at their convention and say what they're expected to say at their convention. He should smile, wait for them to finish their pep rally, then calmly say, "Okay, that's nice, but here's how things really are."