The random political thoughts thread (Part Deux)

[Alex]

That would be me the last time we talked about electoral vote and saying that I didn't think the race was nearly so close as the press was making it seem by only reporting on national polling numbers (though I don't think I ever said landslide I did view it as comfortable).

I still stand by that as I think we'll soon see the convention bounces smooth out and it'll go back to a stability well in Obama's favor (and the couple weirdly tilted polls that have come out in the last few days will move out of the system).

But he's right, that at least at the moment the huge (rather than small) shift I said would have to happen is showing in the polls. I just don't think it will stay there but that, ultimately, is just a guess.