Survivor - Heros vs Villians

[Moonliner]

Russell is still hanging in there. Despite several serious missteps and blunders or perhaps because of them, Russell looks to be the odds on favorite for everyone's "The guy I want next to me at final counse and the vote for $1,000,000".

My prediction: He's going all the way and will lose the tribe vote thanks to his big yapper just like last time. As I understand it, he filmed this season before the reunion show from last season. Meaning he did not have the benefit of learning from his mistake last season.

Is anyone still doubting Russell makes it to the final tribal?

[scaeagles]

It's doubtful if you ask me. It seems to me like it will be a struggle between Parvati and Russell. I think right now Parv hates him so much that she will start gunning for him. However.....if it does come down solely to who you want with you in the final, it could certainly be the case.

Will Rupert and Colby trust him again though? Don't know. I'd have to figure that Rupert and Colby would take each other to the final vote if in the final three and winning the last challange simply because they both seem like guys that would honor their commitment to each other.

[Ghoulish Delight]

I was just talking to my survivor-buddy at work and came to the same conclusion. It's occurred to me that his emotional response at the reunion show last season could definitely be interpreted as, "Holy fvck, I thought I had both of these wrapped up, now I know that people really do think I'm an asshole and don't vote for me...and I was WAY more of an asshole the second time around, I'm screwed."

Out of the six currently on the jury I can't see him getting more than 2 votes. There's no one on there that I'd say would definitely vote for him. Amanda, Danielle, and Courtney definitely would not. Between Coach, Candice, and JT, I'd put decent odds that at least two of them might come to some weird "he out played me, so he deserves it, or at least if he wins it I can say I was beaten by the best" conclusion that gets them to vote for him. Hell, if Russell ends up in the final 3 with 2 women, JT's misogyny stands a good chance of winning out. But that still leaves him in a deep hole. And of those remaining that might end up on the jury, I think the only vote he might have is Jeri. I think best case for him is 3 votes.

I just hope Parvati can hold on. No one's going to want her there in the final 3, but I think she's played the best game and deserves the win.

[Cadaverous Pallor]

If Parvati doesn't step up to Russell in the next show I'll be very disappointed. She's the only one who can take him out.

It would be pretty gratifying to see Russell go down in flames in the final tribal, but I'd rather see someone else up there. Not Colby though, please, please, not Colby.

[Moonliner]

Originally Posted by Cadaverous Pallor

If Parvati doesn't step up to Russell in the next show I'll be very disappointed. She's the only one who can take him out.

It would be pretty gratifying to see Russell go down in flames in the final tribal, but I'd rather see someone else up there. Not Colby though, please, please, not Colby.

After last nights show I'm thinking not Colby. I'm having trouble coming up with any scenario that does not include Parv and Russel in the final.

In the final tribal Russell will never get the votes, Colby won't be there, Jerry? She'd have to ace immunity and I don't see that happening again so I bet she joins Colby on the bench. Sandra? She could make it but would she get the votes over Parv? She's flip flopped more than Russell although in a somewhat more subtle way.

So here's my "Finals" prediction.... Russell, Parv and Sandra. Parv takes down the prize.

[scaeagles]

I find myself wanting Sandra to win it.

I used to really admire the strategy with which Russell played, and while he has always been a bully, he has digressed into that being his entire game. He claims to be the best player ever, but unless you can get the votes in the final tribal.....you can't make that claim.

Colby is weak. I found myself really irritated with how he kept yelling at his brother. If I was his brother I'd have said "screw you, Colby, lose the freaking challenge and I hope you don't win a million".

Do we know if final tribal is with 3 people? Because if it is with two, I could see Russell beating Jerry. Jerry is a flopper follower who has made no strategic moves and no one ever respects that. If it was Colby vs. Russell he'd win because of the number of heros on the jury, but unless Colby wins immunities - not likely - he is the next out.

Sandra, though....she's gained my respect. She hates Russell but doesn't fear him, and has learned to tolerate him without kissing his butt.

So if I was making odds on the overall winner....

Parv 5-2
Sandra 5-1
Russell 8-1
Jerry 10-1
Colby 30-1

[Moonliner]

Don't forget the final is tonight (Sunday). 2-Hour special.

[Moonliner]

Originally Posted by scaeagles

So if I was making odds on the overall winner....

Parv 5-2
Sandra 5-1
Russell 8-1
Jerry 10-1
Colby 30-1

Is it too late to get some bets down with you?

[Moonliner]

I'll wait for tomorrow to post major spoilers, but one interesting minor point.

Russell commented on his loss last season. Which means at some point they must have removed him from the game to attend the reunion and then brought him back.

[Cadaverous Pallor]

Thanks for the reminder!