NPR has this electoral map

Showing McCain ahead only by a few and not 31. ymmv depending on where you go to look, I guess.

And this one shows McCain up by 4, and Obama ahead by 8 if the close states are added in.

State polling generally follows national polling, so since Obama has pulled even or sightly ahead of McCain nationally according to the polls of the last day or two, then one would expect to see the state results move his way in a few days as well.

Then again, the electoral map (according to most models that I saw) didn't move as much as would have been expected when McCain was up nationally, so maybe there will be less of a move in the opposite direction as well.

Quite true. The difference is the NPR site throws out any state where there is less than a 3% difference whereas the site I link to tally's everything over 1%.

Neither way is wrong I suppose, like you said ymmv:)

Trust me, Jeff- McCain will not win Washington. Seattle will go overwhelmingly for Obama, and Seattle rules this state.


Just out of curiosity, has anyone here been polled with regards to the election?

Goodness, it seems these days everybody's asking for change.

OREGON? Maybe in Brookings but dude, stop smoking the stuff they sell out there, man. There's too many people in Portland... according to the local paper Obama currently has a double digit lead.

Now, let's talk about the really close states, like Virginia.

Actually, my brother in Brookings has said he's for Obama. We usually are on opposite sides of the political spectrum ( he's more Libertarian), so I was floored when he told me he was going with Obama.

Yes, and I am one of them;)

It isn't representative but all the people we indirectly know in Brookings are (I'm almost certain) going for McCain.

But what do they know? We have a Brookings magnet that we bought simply because it is a dolphin with chest hair. Regardless I they'll be counterbalanced by that enclave of liberal living known as La Pine.

What's funny is everyone I know who lives in La Pine(all 2 of them) is most assuredly voting for McCain.

The only people I know from Brookings happen to be my wife and her parents....although it's been 25 years since they lived there(yes, they are all Republicans although her mom usually votes for whoever her union tells her to vote for, so she's Republican in name only pretty much).

Me, I live in the somewhat conservative enclave barely within the city limits of Portland sometimes known as Parkrose.....not too many Obama signs around here---not too many McCain signs either I must admit. Yes, Portland is by far the biggest city in the state and yes they are going for Obama something like 2 - 1....but combine that 1 with the rest of the state(Eugene aside) and the GOP can win here. One of our US Senators is a Republican so it isn't impossible.