Official election predictions

scaeagles · 10-22-2008, 07:30 AM

I'm thinking Presidential, but feel free to throw in any other important things, like CA prop 8 or final House and Senate counts.

As posted in another thread, my official Presidential prediction (assuming no game changing October surprises come out) is that Obama wins the popular by 6-8 pts and the electoral by 130-190.

innerSpaceman · 10-22-2008, 07:45 AM

Shenanigans! C'mon scaeagles, do we really need another election thread?

Isn't it enough that the Obama thread has become all about Sarah Palin, making it indistinguishable from the McCain thread, and both should have just remained in the RPTII thread? There's already two or so Prop H8 threads, a thread about the California ballot initiatives which is inclusive of Prop H8, and sundry other election-related threads.

I'm respectfully requesting you request this thread be closed. It's really just complete overkill. That's imho. And it's your decision completely. But, for god's sake, think of the children!!

Kevy Baby · 10-22-2008, 08:16 AM

I will have to go back to find it, but somewhere in the distant past I predicted that Obama would win the Democratic nomination and would win the election.

Gemini Cricket · 10-22-2008, 08:11 AM

I'm predicting an Obama win, but by a closer margin than the polls are indicating now.

Unfortunately, I think 8 will pass. I'm sad about that, but the No on 8 folk do not have the funds the Yes idiots do.

wendybeth · 10-22-2008, 08:18 AM

You guys would NOT believe what I just head about Sarah Palin.....

(Sorry, iSM, couldn't resist).

An election thread is entirely appropriate, and it doesn't have to degenerate into another Palin thread. Scaeagles made it clear that it's a general thread, and there are a lot of other campaigns and issues being voted on besides the Presidency.

Here in Washington, the governor's race is pretty much even, or so I've read. The last election (between the same candidates) was very nasty, and this one has been as well. I don't really care for either candidate, but I'm going with Gregroire (our current gov), mostly because the thought of having a governor named after Fred Flintstone's dog is a bit off-putting.

Moonliner · 10-22-2008, 08:31 AM

Slots is the big issue here.

Personally I'm all for them. I would never play slots so it's a tax someone else pays.

The problems is that with slots, the tax revenue would be paid by those least able to afford it. I can't say I like that.

So much like a vote for Obama, I'll probably vote my conscience over my own financial interests.

innerSpaceman · 10-22-2008, 08:33 AM

Ok, what about the Senate? The Dems are within a hair's breath of a filibuster-proof 60 of them after election day, something they couldn't have dreamed of a month ago.

Is that possible? What would it mean for the country combined with an Obama administration?

scaeagles · 10-22-2008, 08:37 AM

I really was only looking for what people thought numbers would be in terms of margin.

Of course, ISM, I'm now tempted to create 17 other political threads....particularly since YOU were so against the generic "random political thoughts" thread I originally created. Hmph!

Moonliner · 10-22-2008, 09:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scaeagles

I really was only looking for what people thought numbers would be in terms of margin.

Are you new around here or what?

Kevy Baby · 10-22-2008, 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by innerSpaceman

Ok, what about the Senate? The Dems are within a hair's breath of a filibuster-proof 60 of them after election day, something they couldn't have dreamed of a month ago.

Is that possible? What would it mean for the country combined with an Obama administration?

Not only would I not want either party having a super majority, I wish there was a way to prevent congress being controlled by the same party as what the President is. For example, if Obama wins, congress would have to be Republican controlled and if McCain wins, Congress would have to be Democratically controlled.

Yes, I know there is no way to make this happen, it is just what I wish for.

10-22-2008, 07:30 AM	#1
scaeagles I LIKE! Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7,819	Official election predictions I'm thinking Presidential, but feel free to throw in any other important things, like CA prop 8 or final House and Senate counts. As posted in another thread, my official Presidential prediction (assuming no game changing October surprises come out) is that Obama wins the popular by 6-8 pts and the electoral by 130-190.
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10-22-2008, 07:45 AM	#2
innerSpaceman Kink of Swank Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Inner Space Posts: 13,075	Shenanigans! C'mon scaeagles, do we really need another election thread? Isn't it enough that the Obama thread has become all about Sarah Palin, making it indistinguishable from the McCain thread, and both should have just remained in the RPTII thread? There's already two or so Prop H8 threads, a thread about the California ballot initiatives which is inclusive of Prop H8, and sundry other election-related threads. I'm respectfully requesting you request this thread be closed. It's really just complete overkill. That's imho. And it's your decision completely. But, for god's sake, think of the children!!
	Submit to Quotes

10-22-2008, 08:16 AM	#3
Kevy Baby Chowder Head Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Yes Posts: 18,500	I will have to go back to find it, but somewhere in the distant past I predicted that Obama would win the Democratic nomination and would win the election. __________________ The thing about quotes on the internet is that you cannot verify their validity. - Abraham Lincoln
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10-22-2008, 08:11 AM	#4
Gemini Cricket ... Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 13,244	I'm predicting an Obama win, but by a closer margin than the polls are indicating now. Unfortunately, I think 8 will pass. I'm sad about that, but the No on 8 folk do not have the funds the Yes idiots do.
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10-22-2008, 08:18 AM	#5
wendybeth Nevermind Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7,847	You guys would NOT believe what I just head about Sarah Palin..... (Sorry, iSM, couldn't resist). An election thread is entirely appropriate, and it doesn't have to degenerate into another Palin thread. Scaeagles made it clear that it's a general thread, and there are a lot of other campaigns and issues being voted on besides the Presidency. Here in Washington, the governor's race is pretty much even, or so I've read. The last election (between the same candidates) was very nasty, and this one has been as well. I don't really care for either candidate, but I'm going with Gregroire (our current gov), mostly because the thought of having a governor named after Fred Flintstone's dog is a bit off-putting. __________________
	Submit to Quotes

10-22-2008, 08:31 AM	#6
Moonliner 8/30/14 - Disneyland -10k or Bust. Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 9,022	Slots is the big issue here. Personally I'm all for them. I would never play slots so it's a tax someone else pays. The problems is that with slots, the tax revenue would be paid by those least able to afford it. I can't say I like that. So much like a vote for Obama, I'll probably vote my conscience over my own financial interests. __________________ - Taking it one step at a time.
	Submit to Quotes

10-22-2008, 08:33 AM	#7
innerSpaceman Kink of Swank Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Inner Space Posts: 13,075	Ok, what about the Senate? The Dems are within a hair's breath of a filibuster-proof 60 of them after election day, something they couldn't have dreamed of a month ago. Is that possible? What would it mean for the country combined with an Obama administration?
	Submit to Quotes

10-22-2008, 08:37 AM	#8
scaeagles I LIKE! Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7,819	I really was only looking for what people thought numbers would be in terms of margin. Of course, ISM, I'm now tempted to create 17 other political threads....particularly since YOU were so against the generic "random political thoughts" thread I originally created. Hmph!
	Submit to Quotes