Soooooo......

[katiesue]

Yay Cirque!!

[alphabassettgrrl]

Yay! Glad you have a house again.

I spent the weekend in the company of 3700 Doctor Who people. Fans, crew putting on the con, writers, production people, actors. Was awesome.

[SzczerbiakManiac]

Someone went to Gallifrey One. I wish I could have gone.

[Moonliner]

Originally Posted by cirquelover

We moved out of the hotel today! There is not much in the house but it is a house again.

There's no place like home!

[Alex]

So...a lot of people really have no concept of how to assess risks, especially relative to other risks.

I shouldn't be, but I continue to be amazed by how many people decide to be scared of something that doubles your risk of some horrible outcome without first asking what the baseline level of risk was.

If some action increases my risk of dying during the thirty seconds I'm performing that act from 1 in 1,000,000,000 to 1 in 500,000,000 I'm still not really going to be worried about it.

Inspired by two instances (one work, one online) in which people made sweeping pronouncements about how people should behave based on absolutely no sense of the actual risk. "Someone experienced a bad outcome" says absolutely nothing about risk beyond "the risk is probably non-zero."

ETA: Oh, and yes, my view on what constitutes acceptable risk may change if I had children (though hopefully not to the silly "any non-zero risk is unacceptable" standard I see wielded by parents whenever they disapprove of a risk but ignored when they approve of it) but that wouldn't change the validity of the assessment of actual risk. Joining in irrationality does not make it less irrational.

[Moonliner]

Originally Posted by Alex

So...a lot of people really have no concept of how to assess risks, especially relative to other risks.

It's what keeps the TSA, Homeland Defense and NSA in business.

[alphabassettgrrl]

Risk- you're absolutely right.

Gallifrey: next year! Tickets go on sale March 7.

[Kevy Baby]

Originally Posted by Moonliner

It's what keeps the TSA, Homeland Defense and NSA in business.

As well as hospitals, chiropractors, and florists.

[Snowflake]

Originally Posted by SzczerbiakManiac

Someone went to Gallifrey One. I wish I could have gone.

I'm so lame, I had to google that.

[Cadaverous Pallor]

Originally Posted by alphabassettgrrl

I spent the weekend in the company of 3700 Doctor Who people. Fans, crew putting on the con, writers, production people, actors. Was awesome.

So cool. Maybe one day I'll brave a con of some sort.

Originally Posted by Alex

ETA: Oh, and yes, my view on what constitutes acceptable risk may change if I had children (though hopefully not to the silly "any non-zero risk is unacceptable" standard I see wielded by parents whenever they disapprove of a risk but ignored when they approve of it) but that wouldn't change the validity of the assessment of actual risk. Joining in irrationality does not make it less irrational.

Indeed. I was very surprised at my new risk assessment after having a child. I have done a few wild things in the past, things that I won't easily risk today, as my very existence is now in service to someone else. It's much more drastic than the slight shift I had after getting in a long term relationship...