Lounge of Tomorrow

€uromeinke, FEJ. and Ghoulish Delight RULE!!! NA abides.  


Go Back   Lounge of Tomorrow > A.S.C.O.T > Lounge Lizard
Swank Swag
FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts Clear Unread

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 02-18-2014, 01:00 PM   #1
Alex
.
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 13,354
Alex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of coolAlex is the epitome of cool
So...a lot of people really have no concept of how to assess risks, especially relative to other risks.

I shouldn't be, but I continue to be amazed by how many people decide to be scared of something that doubles your risk of some horrible outcome without first asking what the baseline level of risk was.

If some action increases my risk of dying during the thirty seconds I'm performing that act from 1 in 1,000,000,000 to 1 in 500,000,000 I'm still not really going to be worried about it.

Inspired by two instances (one work, one online) in which people made sweeping pronouncements about how people should behave based on absolutely no sense of the actual risk. "Someone experienced a bad outcome" says absolutely nothing about risk beyond "the risk is probably non-zero."

ETA: Oh, and yes, my view on what constitutes acceptable risk may change if I had children (though hopefully not to the silly "any non-zero risk is unacceptable" standard I see wielded by parents whenever they disapprove of a risk but ignored when they approve of it) but that wouldn't change the validity of the assessment of actual risk. Joining in irrationality does not make it less irrational.
Alex is offline   Submit to Quotes Reply With Quote
Old 02-18-2014, 02:58 PM   #2
Moonliner
8/30/14 - Disneyland -10k or Bust.
 
Moonliner's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 9,022
Moonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of coolMoonliner is the epitome of cool
Send a message via AIM to Moonliner Send a message via MSN to Moonliner Send a message via Yahoo to Moonliner
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex View Post
So...a lot of people really have no concept of how to assess risks, especially relative to other risks.
It's what keeps the TSA, Homeland Defense and NSA in business.
__________________
- Taking it one step at a time.
Moonliner is offline   Submit to Quotes Reply With Quote
Old 02-19-2014, 08:12 AM   #3
Kevy Baby
Chowder Head
 
Kevy Baby's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Yes
Posts: 18,500
Kevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of coolKevy Baby is the epitome of cool
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moonliner View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex View Post
So...a lot of people really have no concept of how to assess risks, especially relative to other risks.
It's what keeps the TSA, Homeland Defense and NSA in business.
As well as hospitals, chiropractors, and florists.
__________________
The thing about quotes on the internet is that you cannot verify their validity.
- Abraham Lincoln
Kevy Baby is offline   Submit to Quotes Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -7. The time now is 01:21 AM.


Lunarpages.com Web Hosting

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.