|  | €uromeinke, FEJ. and Ghoulish Delight RULE!!! NA abides. | 
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|  02-18-2014, 01:00 PM | #1 | 
| . Join Date: Feb 2005 
					Posts: 13,354
				            | So...a lot of people really have no concept of how to assess risks, especially relative to other risks. I shouldn't be, but I continue to be amazed by how many people decide to be scared of something that doubles your risk of some horrible outcome without first asking what the baseline level of risk was. If some action increases my risk of dying during the thirty seconds I'm performing that act from 1 in 1,000,000,000 to 1 in 500,000,000 I'm still not really going to be worried about it. Inspired by two instances (one work, one online) in which people made sweeping pronouncements about how people should behave based on absolutely no sense of the actual risk. "Someone experienced a bad outcome" says absolutely nothing about risk beyond "the risk is probably non-zero." ETA: Oh, and yes, my view on what constitutes acceptable risk may change if I had children (though hopefully not to the silly "any non-zero risk is unacceptable" standard I see wielded by parents whenever they disapprove of a risk but ignored when they approve of it) but that wouldn't change the validity of the assessment of actual risk. Joining in irrationality does not make it less irrational. | 
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|  02-18-2014, 02:58 PM | #2 | 
| 8/30/14 - Disneyland -10k or Bust. | It's what keeps the TSA, Homeland Defense and NSA in business. 
				__________________ - Taking it one step at a time. | 
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|  02-19-2014, 08:12 AM | #3 | 
| Chowder Head Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Yes 
					Posts: 18,500
				            | As well as hospitals, chiropractors, and florists. 
				__________________ The thing about quotes on the internet is that you cannot verify their validity. - Abraham Lincoln | 
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