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Old 04-14-2008, 03:55 PM   #1
Kevy Baby
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Dumbest Prediction of the Day

So I hear a teaser about an upcoming news story. Seems scientists have finally been able to make a scientific prediction about the next earthquake in California.

Imagine my disappointment when I heard this (and I am paraphrasing):

Quote:
Somewhere in California, a 6.7 magnitude earthquake has a better than 99 percent chance of striking sometime in the next 30 years.
That's right kids. They have pinpointed his sucker down to the entire state sometime between now and the year 2038.

Wow: they really went out on a limb on this one. This is almost like predicting that Britney Spears will appear in a news story sometime before Christmas.

One story on the subject.
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Old 04-14-2008, 04:10 PM   #2
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Animals are good at predicting earthquakes, at least on a short-term basis. Before Northridge, the mice in my s-i-l's walls were going crazy. Dogs and cats run away from home I'm told. Haven't had a major quake since we've been in this house and had pets. They haven't reacted before any of the minor ones we've had.
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Old 04-14-2008, 04:11 PM   #3
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I predict that I will take a crap some time within the next 72 hours. I R cutting edge science person! Thingy!
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Old 04-14-2008, 04:16 PM   #4
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I predict I will take a nap sometime within the next hour.
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Old 04-14-2008, 04:37 PM   #5
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Quote:

The scientists used complex analytical tools that they have developed over many years and new computer programs to arrive at their new forecasts of earthquake magnitudes and the faults they may rupture.
well, it's a very good thing they have all of these "complex anayltical tools" at their disposal otherwise they may have not been able to make this prediction
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Old 04-14-2008, 05:13 PM   #6
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I’m almost hoping for a good shaker soon so that our obnoxious white trash neighbors will get all panicky and flee back to Tennessee.
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Old 04-14-2008, 05:53 PM   #7
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They've been having a strange swarm of earthquakes in Oregon that have scientists kind of baffled- i couldn't help but wonder if maybe the whole Pacific Rim is acting up. I'm thinking odds are very good that you'll be rid of your neighbors a lot sooner than 30 years, JW.
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Old 04-14-2008, 10:32 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JWBear View Post
I’m almost hoping for a good shaker soon so that our obnoxious white trash neighbors will get all panicky and flee back to Tennessee.
Me too, but my next door neighbors need to flee back to Mexico. Today the two of them were on the steps outside, watching their fugly brat devil child run around on his scooter, glaring at me while I went up and down to get my laundry. I smiled at them and they furrowed their brow (these are the people who once pounded on my wall and yelled "faggot" at me). Real cute characters.

And my building was built in 1952, so who knows on that end either how it'll hold up in a quake. I hope I'm outside when it happens.
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Old 04-15-2008, 10:59 AM   #9
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mine was built originally in 1908 (and expanded many times since then). my only hope is if it survived that many already, whats one more?
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Old 04-15-2008, 11:00 AM   #10
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The straw that broke the camel's back?
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