A Budgetary "What Should I Do" Question

[SzczerbiakManiac]

Originally Posted by Alex

Odds of 2 random URs: 21.68%

So with 120 you'll have about a 1 in 3 chance of getting the 2 extra random URs

A 1 in 3 chance of getting two URs? What am I missing? It looks like the odds are closer to 1 in 5.

[Alex]

Originally Posted by SzczerbiakManiac

A 1 in 3 chance of getting two URs? What am I missing? It looks like the odds are closer to 1 in 5.

That's a 21% chance of getting exactly 2 URs. An 8% chance of getting exactly 3 URs, etc.

So a total chance of about 33% chance of getting 2 or more URs.