Official election predictions - Page 5

Morrigoon · 10-23-2008, 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3894

Isn't it convenient how election night comes after Halloween with all that leftover candy? That's my prediction for the election: I will be watching tv, eating leftover Halloween candy.

3894 is inadvertently giving me wonderful/evil thoughts....

Kevy Baby · 10-23-2008, 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3894

Poor kitty

Gemini Cricket · 10-23-2008, 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevy Baby

Poor kitty

Maybe it was Photoshopped?

BDBopper · 11-02-2008, 08:59 AM

Ok here are my official predictions.

It will be closer than the pundits think but Obama will still win the election. However things won't be all bad for Republicans. 2006 was a total disaster for them as they lost a bunch of seats but didn't knock off any Democrats. While the Democrats will increase their lead in the House and Senate, some Democrats will have to pack their bags and head for home From the House (John Murtha anyone?) and the Democrats will fail to get their desired super majority.

In a related note the first thing I will do after waking up November 5th is to put my Huckabee For President sign out in the yard for a few days just to make a statement (isn't it convenient that they produced those things without a year on them!).

Oh and my gut tells me Prop 8 will fail to pass. I'm glad I don't live in California cause I am mixed on it because while I feel that homosexuals should be allowed to marry I don't think marriage should be legally regulated. It is and should always be a private matter. Though I would probably vote No because y'all would ask me to.

tracilicious · 11-02-2008, 11:08 AM

I'm nauseated by the amount of Yes on 102 (AZ's gay marriage amendment) signs in my neighborhood. I think it's gonna pass here.

Morrigoon · 11-02-2008, 11:27 AM

Posterboard....................................... ...........$1.10
Sharpie........................................... .............$0.99
Standing on a busy corner for a couple hours......$free

Knowing you did everything you could to prevent legalized discrimination...... priceless

(Still a couple days left to get the word out, folks!)

Gemini Cricket · 11-02-2008, 05:42 PM

I'm not a statistician and I don't know a great deal about polls, but I've been looking at a couple of things and was wondering what everyone thought.

First, I've been following 538.com after mousepod pointed it out to me.
Take a look at the left hand side of their homepage. Obama's win percentage: 93.7%. Is that a realistic prediction?

Second, I've been following CNN's early voting map. Scroll over some of the states, some of them show a breakdown of Dem and Repub early voters. If a majority of those folks vote along party lines, then I think there will be bad news for McCain on Tueday.

Tell me what you think.

I'm not getting my hopes up, but this does kind of put me in a happier mood.

CoasterMatt · 11-02-2008, 05:47 PM

I'm willing to bet that a male over the age of 35 will win the presidency.

Gemini Cricket · 11-02-2008, 05:53 PM

And something else I was thinking. I think the polling places are going to be mobbed this election year. Record turnout.

Just a feeling.

scaeagles · 11-02-2008, 06:21 PM

102 will win in AZ in a landslide.

I just don't get the polls. Everything from 11% Obama to 2% Obama with 8% undecided.

I figure Obama has it, but that's some ridiculously different results.

11-02-2008, 08:59 AM	#44
BDBopper Not Taking Any Crap! Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Cleaning Up America, One Step At A Time! Posts: 1,694	Ok here are my official predictions. It will be closer than the pundits think but Obama will still win the election. However things won't be all bad for Republicans. 2006 was a total disaster for them as they lost a bunch of seats but didn't knock off any Democrats. While the Democrats will increase their lead in the House and Senate, some Democrats will have to pack their bags and head for home From the House (John Murtha anyone?) and the Democrats will fail to get their desired super majority. In a related note the first thing I will do after waking up November 5th is to put my Huckabee For President sign out in the yard for a few days just to make a statement (isn't it convenient that they produced those things without a year on them!). Oh and my gut tells me Prop 8 will fail to pass. I'm glad I don't live in California cause I am mixed on it because while I feel that homosexuals should be allowed to marry I don't think marriage should be legally regulated. It is and should always be a private matter. Though I would probably vote No because y'all would ask me to.
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11-02-2008, 11:08 AM	#45
tracilicious avatar transition Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: in-between Posts: 2,487	I'm nauseated by the amount of Yes on 102 (AZ's gay marriage amendment) signs in my neighborhood. I think it's gonna pass here. __________________ And now Harry, let us step into the night and pursue that flighty temptress, adventure! - Albus Dumbledore
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11-02-2008, 11:27 AM	#46
Morrigoon I throw stones at houses Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Location: Location Posts: 9,534	Posterboard....................................... ...........$1.10 Sharpie........................................... .............$0.99 Standing on a busy corner for a couple hours......$free Knowing you did everything you could to prevent legalized discrimination...... priceless (Still a couple days left to get the word out, folks!) __________________ http://bash.org/?top "It is useless for sheep to pass a resolution in favor of vegetarianism while wolves remain of a different opinion." -- William Randolph Inge
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11-02-2008, 05:42 PM	#47
Gemini Cricket ... Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 13,244	I'm not a statistician and I don't know a great deal about polls, but I've been looking at a couple of things and was wondering what everyone thought. First, I've been following 538.com after mousepod pointed it out to me. Take a look at the left hand side of their homepage. Obama's win percentage: 93.7%. Is that a realistic prediction? Second, I've been following CNN's early voting map. Scroll over some of the states, some of them show a breakdown of Dem and Repub early voters. If a majority of those folks vote along party lines, then I think there will be bad news for McCain on Tueday. Tell me what you think. I'm not getting my hopes up, but this does kind of put me in a happier mood.
	Submit to Quotes

11-02-2008, 05:47 PM	#48
CoasterMatt BRAAAAAAAINS! Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: One Step Beyond... Posts: 8,802	I'm willing to bet that a male over the age of 35 will win the presidency. __________________ Do you like my photography? Visit photosbymatt.tumblr.com to purchase prints!
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11-02-2008, 05:53 PM	#49
Gemini Cricket ... Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 13,244	And something else I was thinking. I think the polling places are going to be mobbed this election year. Record turnout. Just a feeling.
	Submit to Quotes

11-02-2008, 06:21 PM	#50
scaeagles I LIKE! Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7,819	102 will win in AZ in a landslide. I just don't get the polls. Everything from 11% Obama to 2% Obama with 8% undecided. I figure Obama has it, but that's some ridiculously different results.
	Submit to Quotes