Yes, we can.

[Tom]

Originally Posted by Cadaverous Pallor

I have no idea if it's at all valid, but I love www.fivethirtyeight.com .

I've been reading that site for a while, and it's become the political site I most often refresh through the course of the day. I have found his blog to be enlightening and insightful, and I actually had to read it for a number of weeks before I even became aware that he's a Democrat (though he's been letting that out more often of late). I don't know if the various percentages he has assigned to the races and the statistical analyses behind them are valid, but they seem to be pretty much in the ballpark of what I would expect based on my entirely unscientific impressions of the races.