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Old 04-23-2008, 04:04 PM   #1
scaeagles
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Originally Posted by Ghoulish Delight View Post
Sorry, but "I win in Me vs. Obama in big states" is such a tiny portion of the overall picture that it's pretty irrelevant.
Couldn't disagree more, and it has to be something the dem party leadership will consider.
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Old 04-23-2008, 04:19 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by scaeagles View Post
Couldn't disagree more, and it has to be something the dem party leadership will consider.
I'm looking through the polls of the theoretical Obama vs. McCain and Clinton vs. McCain by state. Obama's got NY and MI. Clinton's got PA, OH, FL. McCain's got VA and TX, but Obama is significantly closer to him in both of those. Either Clinton or Obama takes NJ and CA with Clinton doing a little better in NJ and Obama a little better in CA.

Those stats come out pretty much a wash, and that's before taking into account the fact that the margins involved are almost universally tiny. Either less than, or barely over, the statistical margin of error for the polls. I just don't see the evidence of Cilnton's supposed big-state dominance in a general election. Wins over Obama just do not translate directly, as she'd like everyone to believe, to wins over McCain (or, rather, wins over McCain that Obama wouldn't get).
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