Yes, we can.

[Alex]

And I really think the idea that this is currently a close race is mostly a product of the hype machine in the media needing it to be interesting. Just like they refused to act on the certainty that Clinton was done for weeks before she made it official (but they didn't really offer the same boost to Huckabee because the Dem side was much more interesting).

While the overall popular vote may be close poll wise, we all know that ain't particularly important. The electoral vote paints an extremely uphill battle for McCain.

Of course, many things can change by November (maybe Obama will admit that actually he is the anti-Christ and his first act as president will be to use DoD money for slave reparations and grant succession to the Hawaii Nativist movement) but at the moment I don't feel it is particularly close. Not a Reagan in '84 landslide but all the cards have to come up just right for McCain.

[sleepyjeff]

Originally Posted by Alex

While the overall popular vote may be close poll wise, we all know that ain't particularly important. The electoral vote paints an extremely uphill battle for McCain.

Uphill, yes, but I'd hardly call it extreme. Right now in state by state polls Obama leads in what amounts to 289 electoral votes....which means McCain needs to take 20 of them.

17 of those electors belong to the State of Michigan, where Obama holds a very narrow lead of about 2%. Another 5 electors can be found in Nevada where Obama also holds a very narrow 2% lead. Those two states alone swings the election back to McCain(provided he holds onto all that he already has).

How to get those two states? Simple if you ask me.......Nevada has a very large Mormon population(even their Democrat US Senator is Mormon) and Michigan once had a governor named..............Romney.