Official election predictions

Morrigoon · 11-02-2008, 11:27 AM

Posterboard....................................... ...........$1.10
Sharpie........................................... .............$0.99
Standing on a busy corner for a couple hours......$free

Knowing you did everything you could to prevent legalized discrimination...... priceless

(Still a couple days left to get the word out, folks!)

Gemini Cricket · 11-02-2008, 05:42 PM

I'm not a statistician and I don't know a great deal about polls, but I've been looking at a couple of things and was wondering what everyone thought.

First, I've been following 538.com after mousepod pointed it out to me.
Take a look at the left hand side of their homepage. Obama's win percentage: 93.7%. Is that a realistic prediction?

Second, I've been following CNN's early voting map. Scroll over some of the states, some of them show a breakdown of Dem and Repub early voters. If a majority of those folks vote along party lines, then I think there will be bad news for McCain on Tueday.

Tell me what you think.

I'm not getting my hopes up, but this does kind of put me in a happier mood.

Tenigma · 11-03-2008, 02:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Morrigoon

Posterboard....................................... ...........$1.10
Sharpie........................................... .............$0.99
Standing on a busy corner for a couple hours......$free

Knowing you did everything you could to prevent legalized discrimination...... priceless

There's a group of YES ON 8 people who stand at the intersection by my work. Alex suggested I make a big sign that says "BIGOTS AHEAD" and then stand on the sidewalk ahead of them. rofl

Stan4dSteph · 11-03-2008, 07:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tenigma

There's a group of YES ON 8 people who stand at the intersection by my work. Alex suggested I make a big sign that says "BIGOTS AHEAD" and then stand on the sidewalk ahead of them. rofl

That would be awesome.

Cadaverous Pallor · 11-03-2008, 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gemini Cricket

Obama's win percentage: 93.7%. Is that a realistic prediction?

Yes, the concept is, if the polls are right, Obama has a 93% chance of winning. Even the weakest polls for Obama show him as having more than enough electorals without any surprises, I believe.

Gemini Cricket · 11-03-2008, 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tenigma

There's a group of YES ON 8 people who stand at the intersection by my work. Alex suggested I make a big sign that says "BIGOTS AHEAD" and then stand on the sidewalk ahead of them. rofl

Best idea ever!

11-02-2008, 11:27 AM	#1
Morrigoon I throw stones at houses Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Location: Location Posts: 9,534	Posterboard....................................... ...........$1.10 Sharpie........................................... .............$0.99 Standing on a busy corner for a couple hours......$free Knowing you did everything you could to prevent legalized discrimination...... priceless (Still a couple days left to get the word out, folks!) __________________ http://bash.org/?top "It is useless for sheep to pass a resolution in favor of vegetarianism while wolves remain of a different opinion." -- William Randolph Inge
	Submit to Quotes

11-02-2008, 05:42 PM	#2
Gemini Cricket ... Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 13,244	I'm not a statistician and I don't know a great deal about polls, but I've been looking at a couple of things and was wondering what everyone thought. First, I've been following 538.com after mousepod pointed it out to me. Take a look at the left hand side of their homepage. Obama's win percentage: 93.7%. Is that a realistic prediction? Second, I've been following CNN's early voting map. Scroll over some of the states, some of them show a breakdown of Dem and Repub early voters. If a majority of those folks vote along party lines, then I think there will be bad news for McCain on Tueday. Tell me what you think. I'm not getting my hopes up, but this does kind of put me in a happier mood.
	Submit to Quotes